Historian Says Trump Is Likely To Run in 2024 | 22 Words

A historian who has predicted every presidential race since 1984 has said that Donald Trump is unlikely to run again in 2024...

Which, of course, doesn't come as much of a surprise.


Scroll on for the details...

Now, throughout his entire reign as president of the United States, Donald Trump's behavior was controversial, to say the least.


From a temporary travel ban on Muslims entering and leaving the U.S. and banning transgender people from the military...

The man really knew how to spark global outrage.


While maintaining a healthy number of supporters.

But in 2019, he paid the price for it.


Trump underwent an impeachment trial on charges of abuse of power and obstruction of Congress.

And even though the Senate acquitted Trump of these charges on February 5, 2020, the impeachment left a nasty stain on the president's reputation.

And, to make things even worse...


Shortly after the impeachment charges were dropped, the world was hit by the coronavirus pandemic which Trump went on to handle awfully.

The people of America were left grieving and feeling angry...


But of course, this didn't stop him from running as president for a second term in last year's 2020 elections.

He was clearly in panic mode...


And right up until November 3rd, when the votes started to get counted, Trump continued to spread lies about Biden and his campaign team in a desperate bid to be reelected.

But these efforts were to little avail.

On November 7th, it was confirmed that Joe Biden had won the election by amassing 284 electoral college seats to Trump's 214.

But Trump's refusal to concede to Biden only poured more fuel on his army of angry supporters...


And this lead to the shocking scenes at the U.S Capitol building on January 6th as thousands of angry Trump supporters flocked and broke into the prestigious building.

It was history in the making...

And it was also, undeniably, the biggest security breach our country has faced since 9/11.

Trump eventually issued a series of small tweets asking for his supporters to simply "go home"...


All while refusing to take any responsibility for the riot, despite him being the one who encouraged his supporters to literally "fight back" earlier that day.

This lead to him being suspended indefinitely from all major social media platforms, including Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, and YouTube.

Of course, we all know how much Trump loved Twitter, so this was a huge deal.

But, along with the social media ban, Trump's lack of concern over his supporter's violence got Congress talking...


And Nancy Pelosi, along with many other members of Congress, began to prepare a vote to impeach Trump over his role in the riots.

Trump was officially impeached... Again.


It was announced that the House had voted on an article of impeachment that accuses Trump of "incitement of insurrection", with 10 republicans reportedly supporting the move.

Trump became the first president in history to be impeached twice.


The final vote was 232-197, as per The Guardian.

Trump has been lying relatively low since President Biden's inauguration...


But he made a rather explosive comeback last month with some "exciting" news for his supporters.

Trump appeared at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in February where he gave his first speech since leaving office as US president.


Trump addressed the rumours about starting a new political party, saying: "I am not starting a new party. That was fake news."

"We're not starting new parties. You know, they kept saying, 'He's going to start a brand new party.' We have the Republican Party. It's going to unite and be stronger than ever before."


Before jokingly adding, "Wouldn't that be brilliant - let's start a new party and let's divide our vote, so that you can never win. No, we're not interested in that. We have tremendous [polling figures]."

Trump also hinted at running for president once again.


"Who knows. I may decide to beat them for a third time," he said.

Adding that he "may" decided to run.

Speaking about the "incredible journey," he added that "it is far from over."


"We will be victorious and America will be stronger and greater than ever before."

Of course, many took Trump's ambitious comments with a pinch of salt...

Because surely he won't be running for president again... right?

Well, a historian who has predicted every presidential race since 1984 has confirmed that Trump's ambitions are very unlikely.


Allan Lichtman, a professor of US political history at the American University, has devised a series of "thirteen keys," or questions he uses to establish the likelihood of a candidate winning a presidential election, which he revealed in a recent book, "Predicting the Next President."

He used the method to successfully project that Trump would win the 2016 election...

When most pundits and bookmakers were ruling out the businessman's chances and predicted Joe Biden's win last year.

And speaking more recently to the Miami Herald, Lichtman explained how it's very unlikely Trump will run in 2024.


"He's got $400-million-plus in loans coming due," Lichtman said, "His brand is failing. His businesses are failing. He has a huge IRS audit. He doesn't hold office anymore. He's lost his Twitter feed."

Lichtman was apparently referring to a New York Times report from last year citing tax records, whose accuracy Trump disputed, that he is heavily indebted.


The historian gave Biden 9 out of 10 for his performance so far and said that even though the president would be eighty-two in 2024, he wouldn't rule him out to run for reelection.

"There's no precedent in American history for starting the presidency at age seventy-eight either," Lichtman said, "But, as we know, precedents are made to be broken."

So, there you have it!


It looks like Trump's ambitions to be the president of the United States once more aren't looking likely.